N°26-34: Regulatory Simplification and Bank Lending: Evidence from the Community Bank Leverage Ratio
We examine the adoption of the Community Bank Leverage Ratio (CBLR) among U.S. community banks, to understand when and where it is taken up, which banks are more likely to adopt it, whether adoption affects lending behavior, and if it encourages banks to extend riskier loans. We find that uptake is modest, geographically uneven, with banks switching in-and-out. Adoption is more likely among small, loan oriented banks, while strong financial performance and compliance costs play a limited role. To assess the economic impact of CBLR, we implement a two-step empirical strategy using predictive modeling and counterfactual group construction. We find that CBLR adoption is associated with a 31 percent increase in lending growth across small business and farm loans, while also reinforcing banks' local lending focus. For CBLR adopters, lending growth sensitivity to geographic distance increases by an order of magnitude. CBLR adopters curtail lending roughly 1.6 times more than non-adopters following a one-standard deviation rise in unemployment. Furthermore, the framework strengthens the role of branches in underserved areas, with a 10-percentage-point increase in rural branch share associated with roughly 3.4 percent higher lending growth for CBLR adopters. Additionally, CBLR adopters show evidence of strategic lending expansion into concentrated markets. We show that changes in capitalization and excess capital buffers explain part of the lending response. Put simply, banks that relax excess buffers after adoption are those driving the growth. We find no broad "dark side" of CBLR-default and loss rates remain low, with higher risk confined to government-guaranteed loans.